Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) Down 5.4% — Time to Swap This for Something Better?

  • JOBY fell 5.42% to $14.57 from previous close of $15.41
  • Weiss Ratings assigns D (Sell)
  • Market capitalization stands at $14.05 billion

Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) is under pressure in the latest session, retreating 5.42% to close at $14.57. The stock lost $0.84 on the day, giving back a meaningful portion of recent gains and signaling that buyers are losing ground in the near term. Trading activity was subdued, with roughly 18.1 million shares changing hands, running well below the 90-day average volume of about 34.2 million shares. That lighter participation suggests the latest slide is unfolding without strong support from active bulls, leaving the price action vulnerable to further downside if selling interest persists.

From a broader perspective, JOBY continues to face headwinds when viewed against its 52-week range of $4.96 to $20.95. At $14.57, the stock is now more than $6 below its 52-week high set on Aug. 4, 2025, giving back a significant portion of the advance from earlier in the year. The pullback places shares firmly in the lower half of their recent trading range, highlighting that momentum has been fading rather than building. Within the transportation and logistics space, sentiment has been uneven, with names such as United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS), DiDi Global Inc. (DIDIY), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL), U-Haul Holding Company (UHAL), and GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) also experiencing bouts of volatility. Against that backdrop, JOBY’s latest decline underscores that the stock is sliding rather than stabilizing, reinforcing a pattern of price weakness that investors will be watching closely.


Why Joby Aviation, Inc. Price is Moving Lower

Joby Aviation’s recent pullback is occurring against a backdrop of fading enthusiasm rather than fresh positive catalysts. Trading over the past week has stayed choppy within the mid-teens, but volume has slipped well below its 90-day average, signaling waning buying conviction even as the stock remains highly volatile. The lack of new announcements, contract wins, or regulatory milestones is leaving the share price exposed to profit-taking after a strong run and a prior 52-week high near $21. At the same time, the consensus “Reduce” stance from prior analyst coverage and an average price target around $13.43 position the current quote above where Wall Street sees fair value, adding valuation pressure as traders reassess risk.

Fundamentally, the headline revenue surge — from roughly $15,000 to $22.57 million quarter over quarter and more than 80,000% year-over-year growth — has not yet translated into a sustainable business model. The company still carries a deeply negative profit margin of roughly -4,657% and an EPS of -$1.33, underscoring heavy ongoing cash burn and execution risk. In a higher-rate environment, investors are showing less tolerance for speculative, pre-profit concepts, especially within transportation and aviation, where peers such as UPS, American Airlines, or U-Haul have also faced performance and cost headwinds. Against that sector backdrop, Joby’s sizable market capitalization relative to its early-stage revenue base invites additional scrutiny, and the combination of lofty expectations, steep losses, and softening trading interest is keeping downside pressure on the stock and warranting caution at current levels.


What is the Joby Aviation, Inc. Rating - Should I Sell?

Weiss Ratings assigns JOBY a D rating. Current recommendation is Sell. The stock was upgraded on 5/28/2024. Even with the recent change, a D still places Joby Aviation, Inc. among the weaker names in its group on a risk-adjusted basis, signaling that downside risk remains a primary concern for investors.

The sub-indices help explain why. The Weak Growth Index shows that, despite eye‑catching headline revenue growth of more than 80,000%, the underlying growth profile is not translating into a healthier business model or shareholder value. The Very Weak Efficiency Index is even more concerning, as it captures severe profitability and capital allocation issues, including an extremely negative profit margin of roughly -4,657% and a deeply negative forward P/E ratio of -11.62. These figures indicate that rapid top-line expansion has come with massive losses, diluting the benefit of growth.

On the risk side, the Excellent Solvency Index indicates that Joby’s balance sheet currently provides a cushion, but the Weak Volatility Index points to a choppy trading pattern that can punish investors during adverse news or sentiment shifts. The Fair Total Return Index shows that past performance has been middling at best relative to the risks taken, which is not enough to offset the fundamental weaknesses captured elsewhere in the rating.

Within Industrials, Joby’s D rating is in line with other challenged names like U-Haul Holding Company (UHAL, D) and only marginally below peers such as United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS, D+) and American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL, D+). That peer context reinforces the message: JOBY remains a speculative, high-risk holding where strong growth metrics have not yet protected shareholders from substantial risk or persistent losses.


About Joby Aviation, Inc.

Joby Aviation, Inc. is an early-stage aerospace company operating in the Industrials sector, focused on developing electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban and regional transportation. The company is attempting to design and certify piloted, zero-operating-emissions aircraft intended to function as air taxis, primarily serving short-haul routes that compete with ground-based transportation. Its core platform centers on a multi-rotor eVTOL aircraft concept that combines elements of helicopters and fixed‑wing aircraft, aiming for vertical takeoff and landing capability with transition to forward flight. Joby’s business model is built around operating its own aerial ridesharing service rather than simply manufacturing aircraft for third parties, adding operational and regulatory complexity to its path.

Within the Transportation industry, Joby positions itself as part of the emerging advanced air mobility (AAM) segment, where commercialization timelines, certification requirements, and infrastructure needs remain challenging. The company is heavily dependent on successful regulatory certification, large-scale manufacturing ramp-up, and the build-out of vertiports and charging infrastructure before its service can be deployed at scale. Competition is intense, with multiple aerospace and technology firms pursuing alternative eVTOL configurations, powertrain solutions, and business models. Any advantage Joby may claim in design, noise profile, or range is still theoretical until aircraft are fully certified, produced reliably, and integrated into air traffic systems. As a result, the company remains a development-stage transportation player facing significant execution, regulatory, and capital intensity hurdles before its proposed services can become commercially viable.


Investor Outlook

With Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) carrying a D (Sell) Weiss Rating, investors may want to exercise caution and closely monitor how its risk profile evolves relative to other Industrials names. Watch for whether the stock can hold recent support areas, how sector sentiment toward emerging aviation technologies develops, and if fundamentals improve enough to justify a potential ratings upgrade. See full rankings of all D-rated Industrials stocks inside the Weiss Stock Screener.

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This Weiss Instant News Alert was compiled by narrative data technology, our proprietary ratings models and analysis by Weiss Ratings with the intent of providing our readers with the fastest research and independent coverage. Weiss Instant News Alerts have been reviewed by a member of our editorial staff before publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]
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