Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) Down 4.5% — Should I Let It Go?

Key Points


  • STX fell 4.5% to $254.72 from $266.87 previous trading day
  • Weiss Ratings assigns B (Buy)
  • Stock trades 14% below its 52-week high of $297.88

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) opened the session under pressure and extended losses through the day. The stock moved from a previous close of $266.87 to $254.72, finishing down 4.55% and declining $12.15. The pullback follows a strong multi-month advance, and today’s negative print reflects a cooling in momentum rather than a change in the company’s long-term positioning. Trading remained orderly, and the move kept the shares within the recent range carved out over the past several weeks.

Volume ran below average, indicating limited participation in the decline. At $254.72, STX trades roughly 14% below its 52-week high of $297.88, set on Nov. 12, 2025, leaving the uptrend intact on longer timeframes. Technicians are watching the mid-$250s for near-term support and the upper-$260s to low-$270s as initial resistance from prior congestion. The retreat effectively resets short-term overbought conditions that had built during the stock’s rapid appreciation this year.

In recent sessions, STX has seen bouts of profit-taking after a powerful run supported by AI- and cloud-related storage demand narratives across the Information Technology sector. Hardware-oriented names have been mixed as investors recalibrate risk and rotate within technology. Against that backdrop, Seagate’s pullback appears more sentiment-driven than fundamental, with the stock continuing to trade within a broader uptrend that has defined 2025 trading. Sector tone and upcoming data points for technology hardware and equipment remain key for the stock’s next directional move.


Why Seagate Technology Holdings plc Price is Moving

At a current price of $254.72, Seagate Technology Holdings plc carries a market capitalization of $58.14 billion. On fundamentals, the company reports trailing 12-month EPS of $7.79, helping anchor investor expectations around profitability. The 52-week range spans $63.19 to $297.88, underscoring how significant the year’s run has been from prior lows to record territory. Recent trading has featured below-average volume, a sign that day-to-day moves are being driven by incremental positioning shifts rather than broad institutional pressure.

Recent catalysts have been most pronounced around insider activity and execution trends. On Wednesday, Dec. 3, 2025, Seagate fell 5.3% to $252.60 after disclosures of insider selling, including an unnamed insider reducing their position by 4.29% and Director Yolanda Lee Conyers selling 750 shares at an average $272.91 on Dec. 2. Trading volume during that decline was notably light—581,592 shares, roughly 86% below the average session volume of 4.03 million—suggesting sentiment, not heavy distribution, drove the weakness. From an operating standpoint, revenue momentum remains a constructive backdrop: the latest quarter on Oct. 3, 2025, posted $2.63 billion versus $2.44 billion in the June quarter, a sequential increase of 7.8%. That step-up aligns with improving demand for high-capacity drives serving cloud and AI use cases.

Analysis from the Street remains supportive. Loop Capital raised its price target from $350 to $465 on Nov. 10 with a buy rating, reflecting confidence in product cycles and long-term demand. A referenced discounted cash flow estimate of $356.98 implies the shares trade at a meaningful discount on intrinsic value frameworks, even after sizable year-to-date gains of 212.7% and 12-month returns of 180%. Valuation at a 34.26 P/E reflects growth expectations, and, paired with rising revenues, helps contextualize today’s pullback as a consolidation within a longer advance.


What is the Seagate Technology Holdings plc Rating - Should I Sell or Buy?

Weiss Ratings assigns STX a B rating. Current recommendation is Buy.

The rating is built on six indices: the Excellent Growth Index (measures revenue and earnings expansion) supported by 21.26% revenue growth; the Good Efficiency Index (measures operational effectiveness and profit margins), consistent with a 17.92% profit margin; the Fair Solvency Index (measures financial health and debt management), indicating an adequate balance sheet but not a standout; the Good Total Return Index (measures stock price appreciation plus dividends), reflecting the stock’s strong multi-period gains; the Fair Volatility Index (measures price stability and risk), acknowledging elevated but manageable swings during a rapid advance; and the Weak Dividend Index (measures dividend payments and yield), in line with a modest 1.08% yield. Valuation at a 34.26 P/E ratio is growth-tilted, reinforcing why return and growth indices are the primary drivers of the B.

Relative to peers, Seagate’s B places it alongside high-quality names in Information Technology. Apple (AAPL) carries a B-, Cisco (CSCO) a B, and Amphenol (APH) a B. STX’s risk/reward stands competitively within this cohort, with stronger return momentum offset by only fair solvency and a weaker income profile.

Bottom line, the B rating reflects a favorable blend of improving growth, solid efficiency, and strong total returns, tempered by only fair balance sheet metrics, average volatility, and a light dividend. In Weiss Ratings’ framework, those strengths outweigh the detractors, supporting a Buy recommendation without ignoring the risks that come with above-market valuation and cyclicality in hardware spending.


About Seagate Technology Holdings plc

Seagate Technology Holdings plc is a global data storage company in the Information Technology sector, operating within the Technology Hardware and Equipment industry. The company designs, manufactures, and markets storage solutions used to create, store, and manage digital data across consumer, enterprise, and cloud environments. Seagate’s corporate structure includes an Irish holding company framework with significant operational presence in the United States, reflecting its multinational footprint and global customer base. The company has evolved alongside the growth of data-intensive applications, delivering capacity, performance, and reliability to hyperscale, enterprise, and edge workloads.

Seagate’s product portfolio centers on hard disk drives (HDDs), including high-capacity nearline drives for hyperscale data centers, mission-critical drives for enterprise servers, and client drives for desktops and notebooks. The company also offers solid-state storage, storage systems, and platforms that address performance-centric and specialized applications. Seagate develops proprietary technologies such as heat-assisted magnetic recording (HAMR) and advanced drive architectures, as well as data management and security features designed to improve durability, energy efficiency, and total cost of ownership. Its solutions are distributed through OEMs, channel partners, and direct engagements with cloud service providers.

Seagate’s competitive position is anchored by scale manufacturing, deep engineering expertise in areal density and reliability, and long-standing relationships with major cloud and OEM customers. The company’s focus on high-capacity nearline HDDs and associated platforms positions it to serve expanding data needs in cloud infrastructure, AI training and inference storage, and large-scale content repositories. Vertical integration and technology leadership in recording technologies remain key differentiators, supporting Seagate’s ability to deliver cost-effective, high-capacity storage at volume for global customers.


Investor Outlook

Investors in STX should monitor whether the mid-$250s hold as near-term support, how volume behaves on rebounds, and whether insider activity remains a sentiment driver. With a Weiss B (Buy) rating, the balance of growth, efficiency, and total return remains favorable, while solvency and dividend metrics are watch items. See full rankings of all B-rated Information Technology stocks inside the Weiss Stock Screener.

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This Weiss Instant News Alert was compiled by narrative data technology, our proprietary ratings models and analysis by Weiss Ratings with the intent of providing our readers with the fastest research and independent coverage. Weiss Instant News Alerts have been reviewed by a member of our editorial staff before publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]
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