Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Up 7.5% — Is This the Spot to Start Accumulating?

Key Points


  • TPL rose 7.50% to $402.60 from $374.51 previous trading day
  • Weiss Ratings assigns C (Hold)
  • Stock trades 17.4% below its 52-week high of $487.59 reached on 03/03/2025

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) staged a strong advance in the latest session, closing at $402.60, up 7.50% from the prior close of $374.51 and gaining $28.09 in a single day. The stock’s surge was accompanied by robust trading activity, with volume reaching 573,457 shares, well above its 90-day average of 395,102. That heavier turnover underscores solid bullish interest, as buyers stepped in aggressively and helped push the price sharply higher on the NYSE. From a short-term perspective, the stock is clearly gaining ground, with price action pointing to firm upward momentum rather than a tentative bounce.

Even after this move, TPL remains below its recent 52-week high of $487.59 set on Mar. 3, 2025, leaving meaningful room before retesting that peak. The current level places the stock within striking distance of that high, yet still offering a visible gap that highlights both past strength and potential upside if the recent trend continues. Compared with large energy-sector peers such as Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and ConocoPhillips (COP), TPL’s latest session stands out for its outsized percentage gain and elevated volume. Overall, the trading action reflects a stock that is firmly on the offensive, with buyers in control and recent price behavior skewed toward sustained, bullish activity rather than sideways consolidation.


Why Texas Pacific Land Corporation Price is Moving Higher

Texas Pacific Land Corporation is drawing renewed investor enthusiasm as multiple positive catalysts converge. The most visible driver is fresh institutional insider buying by Horizon Kinetics, which added small but symbolic share purchases on Feb. 6 and 9 at prices below current levels. Those adds bring its direct stake to more than 3.47 million shares and have coincided with an 11.42% gain over the past week, reinforcing the perception of long-term conviction from a major holder. At the same time, KeyBanc’s initiation with an Overweight rating and a $1,050 price target has amplified bullish sentiment by underscoring the long-lived value of TPL’s land, oil and gas royalties, water royalties, and surface leases.

Fundamentals are also supporting the move higher. Texas Pacific Land continues to post strong revenue growth of about 17.01%, backed by exceptionally robust profitability, including gross margins above 90% and profit margins over 60%. That combination of growth and high-margin, asset‑light royalty economics is helping investors look past a rich earnings multiple and only modestly higher projected EPS, viewing TPL more as a scarce, long-duration asset play than a typical energy producer. The recent three‑for‑one stock split and the $50 million strategic partnership with Bolt Data & Energy — which includes equity exposure and water supply rights for data center developments on TPL land — add to the momentum, highlighting new monetization avenues beyond traditional energy. Together, these developments are fueling optimism that TPL’s unique asset base can continue to compound value, driving the stock’s latest advance.


What is the Texas Pacific Land Corporation Rating - Should I Buy?

Weiss Ratings assigns TPL a C rating. Current recommendation is Hold. For investors, that places Texas Pacific Land Corporation in the middle of the risk/reward spectrum: neither a clear-cut Buy nor a Sell, but a name to watch closely, especially given its unique position in the Energy space.

What stands out most is the strength in the underlying business. TPL earns an Excellent Growth Index and an Excellent Efficiency Index, supported by 17.01% revenue growth and a very high 61.67% profit margin. Its return on equity of 39.37% further supports the Excellent Efficiency Index, indicating that management is generating substantial earnings from shareholder capital. On top of that, an Excellent Solvency Index points to a very strong balance sheet, giving the company flexibility to navigate commodity cycles and invest for the long term.

Where the story becomes more nuanced is on the market-performance side. The Fair Total Return Index and Weak Volatility Index indicate that, despite strong fundamentals, shareholders have not consistently been rewarded with superior, risk-adjusted returns, and price swings have been relatively wide. The elevated forward P/E ratio of 54.27 also means investors are paying a premium valuation, which can amplify those swings.

Within the Energy sector, TPL’s C (Hold) rating is broadly in line with Chevron Corporation (CVX, C) and ConocoPhillips (COP, C), and slightly below Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM, C+). For investors, the key takeaway is that Texas Pacific Land Corporation combines exceptional operating quality and financial strength with a more average overall risk/reward trade-off at current levels.


About Texas Pacific Land Corporation

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) is one of the largest private landowners in Texas, with a business model closely tied to the U.S. energy industry. The company primarily generates revenue from its extensive land and resource rights in the Permian Basin, one of the most productive oil and gas regions in North America. Its asset base includes surface acreage, mineral interests, royalty interests, and water rights, which together support a diversified set of energy-related activities. TPL typically earns income through royalties on oil and gas production, easements and rights-of-way for energy infrastructure, and fees related to land-use arrangements across its portfolio.

Beyond royalties and land management, Texas Pacific Land Corporation has developed a meaningful presence in energy-related water services, an increasingly critical component of upstream operations. The company provides source water, produced water handling, and disposal solutions that help exploration and production operators manage water needs efficiently and in compliance with regulatory requirements. This combination of mineral, surface, and water assets positions TPL as a strategic partner to energy producers operating in the Permian Basin. The company’s long-established land position, low operating intensity, and broad exposure to drilling and production activity give it structural advantages relative to many traditional energy companies, while its focus on fee-based and royalty-driven income streams offers a distinct niche within the Energy sector.


Investor Outlook

With Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) carrying a C (Hold) Weiss Rating, the stock appears positioned for potential continued gains if current momentum aligns with improving fundamentals in the Energy space. Investors may want to watch how broader sector trends, cash generation, and capital allocation decisions influence any future shift from Hold toward Buy territory. See full rankings of all C-rated Energy stocks inside the Weiss Stock Screener.

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This Weiss Instant News Alert was compiled by narrative data technology, our proprietary ratings models and analysis by Weiss Ratings with the intent of providing our readers with the fastest research and independent coverage. Weiss Instant News Alerts have been reviewed by a member of our editorial staff before publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]
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