The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) Up 5.3% — Time to Capitalize on the Move?

  • CG rose 5.35% to $59.23 from the previous close of $56.22
  • Weiss Ratings assigns C (Hold)
  • Dividend yield is 2.49%, with market cap standing at $20.26 billion

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) showed strong performance in the latest session, with the stock advancing 5.35% to close at $59.23. Shares gained $3.01 from the prior close of $56.22, marking a solid bullish move that stands out within the Financials sector. Trading activity came in lighter than usual, with roughly 768,507 shares changing hands compared with a 90-day average of about 2.95 million shares. Even on below-average volume, the stock’s upward move highlights firm buying interest and constructive price action.

At current levels, CG is gaining ground, but still trades below its 52-week peak of $69.85 set on Sept. 19, 2025, leaving meaningful room before retesting that high. The recent advance contrasts with more mixed weekly performance among large-cap sector peers, where names such as Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRKB) and Visa (V) have posted negative weekly returns, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Mastercard (MA) have seen more modest moves. Against that backdrop, CG’s latest surge stands out as comparatively stronger momentum. The stock’s ability to push higher from recent levels, even with subdued volume, underscores a constructive technical backdrop that investors may continue to watch as it works closer to its 52-week range highs.


Why The Carlyle Group Inc. Price is Moving Higher

The Carlyle Group’s recent climb from roughly $54 on Dec. 2 to above $57 by Dec. 5 reflects building bullish sentiment, even in the absence of a single headline catalyst. Instead, investors appear to be responding to a combination of steady stock performance, supportive analyst views, and confidence in Carlyle’s core business model as a leading alternative asset manager. Trading sessions this week have featured elevated activity — approaching 2.8 million shares on Dec. 4 — reinforcing the view that more buyers are stepping in on strength rather than selling into rallies. The move has unfolded within a wide 52‑week band and against a backdrop of market volatility, suggesting that investors are selectively gravitating toward established platforms with durable fee streams.

Analyst positioning and underlying fundamentals are also feeding the positive tone. Around 58% of recent analyst ratings sit in the Buy camp, and the stock’s roughly 2.4% yield adds an income component that can make shares more attractive in a choppy macro environment. Carlyle’s sizable $332 billion in fee‑earning assets under management as of September 2025 remains a key anchor of investor enthusiasm, as those assets drive management and performance fees that can support earnings over time. Even with revenue growth recently under pressure and a normalized P/E in the mid‑20s that implies a premium valuation, the market’s willingness to push the shares higher points to confidence that current profitability, scale, and longer‑term cash‑flow potential can justify that multiple — at least for now — and keep upward momentum intact.


What is the The Carlyle Group Inc. Rating - Should I Buy?

Weiss Ratings assigns CG a C rating. Current recommendation is Hold. This C Weiss Rating indicates an overall risk/reward profile that is around the market average — neither a clear standout nor a significant underperformer. For many investors, a Hold-equivalent profile often means the stock may be more suitable for watchlists or selective positions than for a high-conviction core allocation.

Within that balanced assessment, several sub-index strengths support CG’s positioning. The Good Efficiency Index is supported by a 12.54% return on equity and a 20.61% profit margin, showing the company is earning respectable returns on shareholder capital. The Good Dividend Index also contributes positively, indicating that dividends add meaningfully to CG’s total return profile within the Financials sector.

On the risk side, CG’s metrics lean constructive. The Excellent Solvency Index signals a strong balance sheet and solid ability to meet obligations, which can be especially important in a cyclical industry like financials. Fair grades for the Total Return Index and the Volatility Index indicate that, while past performance has been mixed, price movements have generally stayed within a typical range for this type of stock.

However, the Very Weak Growth Index and a steep 94.86% revenue decline weigh heavily on the overall evaluation and help explain why the positives in efficiency, dividends, and solvency do not lift CG above a C. Compared to sector peers like JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM, B) and Visa Inc. (V, B), CG’s C rating signals more moderate risk/reward potential, aligning it with investors who are comfortable with an average, rather than best-in-class profile.


About The Carlyle Group Inc.

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) is a global alternative asset manager with a long-established presence in the financial services industry. Founded in 1987 and headquartered in Washington, D.C., Carlyle focuses on private equity, credit, and investment solutions across multiple regions and sectors. The firm manages investment funds and vehicles on behalf of a diversified client base that includes institutional investors, sovereign wealth funds, pension plans, and high-net-worth individuals. Its private equity platform targets corporate buyouts, growth capital, and strategic investments, while its credit platform spans direct lending, opportunistic credit, distressed strategies, and structured credit.

Carlyle differentiates itself through its global reach, sector specialization, and deep operational expertise. The firm operates with integrated teams across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific, allowing it to source, evaluate, and manage investments with local insight and global perspective. In addition to traditional private equity and credit strategies, Carlyle offers customized investment solutions and co-investment opportunities tailored to the needs of sophisticated institutional clients. Its long history in alternative investments, combined with extensive industry relationships and a disciplined value-creation approach, has helped establish The Carlyle Group as one of the more recognized names in the alternative asset management space within the broader financial services sector.


Investor Outlook

With a C Weiss Rating indicating a Hold-equivalent, risk/reward profile, The Carlyle Group Inc. remains in “fair” territory as investors look ahead. The combination of a Good Efficiency Index, Good Dividend Index and Excellent Solvency Index supports the case for stability, but the Very Weak Growth Index and steep revenue decline highlight why upside may be constrained without clear improvement in fundamentals or sector-relative performance. See full rankings of all C-rated Financials stocks inside the Weiss Stock Screener.

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This Weiss Instant News Alert was compiled by narrative data technology, our proprietary ratings models and analysis by Weiss Ratings with the intent of providing our readers with the fastest research and independent coverage. Weiss Instant News Alerts have been reviewed by a member of our editorial staff before publication. Please send any questions or comments about this story to [email protected]
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