Key Points
XPO, Inc. (XPO) closed sharply lower, moving from a previous close of $143.43 to $133.83. The stock finished the session down 6.70%, declining $9.60 as sellers dominated trade. The magnitude of the move stands out relative to recent daily changes and reflects a swift reassessment of the company’s near-term fundamentals.
The drop extends the stock’s pullback from its 52-week high of $161.00 set on 12/17/2024. At $133.83, XPO now trades 17% below that high-water mark, placing shares squarely in a retracement phase. Traders focused on the integrity of recent support zones and whether the stock can stabilize after today’s break, with attention centered on prior consolidation areas created during the stock’s late-2024 advance.
In recent sessions, XPO had been hovering in the mid-$140s as investors weighed mixed signals across the Transportation industry. The Industrials sector has been sensitive to freight-volume trends and macro indicators tied to manufacturing and inventory restocking. Against that backdrop, momentum has cooled, and sentiment turned more cautious today as fundamentals took precedence over technicals, prompting a decisive move lower in XPO.
Why XPO, Inc. Price is Moving
XPO stock finished at $133.83, giving the company a market capitalization of $16.84 billion. The shares sit 17% below their 52-week high of $161.00. On an earnings basis, XPO reports trailing twelve-month EPS of $2.78. These levels frame the stock’s current valuation profile and sensitivity to changes in operating trends within the Transportation industry.
The immediate catalyst for today’s 6.7% decline was XPO’s update on November 2025 operating metrics for its North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) segment. On December 1, 2025, the company reported LTL tonnage per day fell 5.4% year over year, driven by a 2.2% drop in shipments and a 3.2% decline in weight per shipment. This followed a 3.8% decline in October 2025, signaling continued softness in freight volumes. Investors reacted to the sequential deterioration and the absence of offsetting guidance, a notable concern given LTL’s outsized contribution to revenue and earnings within XPO’s model.
Analysts have maintained Buy ratings on XPO and some raised price targets recently, but the persistent volume declines are increasing uncertainty around near-term profitability and growth. With a richer multiple implied by trailing EPS and a P/E near the low-50s, the market appears less willing to underwrite further valuation expansion while volumes trend lower. There were no earnings releases, regulatory developments, or major downgrades today; the move was centered on XPO’s own operating data and what it implies for upcoming quarters in the Industrials and Transportation landscape.
What is the XPO, Inc. Rating - Should I Sell or Buy?
Weiss Ratings assigns XPO a C rating. Current recommendation is Hold.
The rating is built on the following indices: the Weak Growth Index indicates modest expansion, consistent with revenue growth of 2.83% and a profit margin of 4.11% that leaves limited cushion if volumes soften. The Good Efficiency Index aligns with solid execution and a 19.20% return on equity. The Excellent Solvency Index points to strong balance-sheet resilience. The Fair Total Return Index reflects average risk-adjusted performance versus peers. The Weak Volatility Index signals a choppier trading profile that can amplify downside when sentiment turns. Together with a 51.59 P/E ratio, these factors underscore a balanced, but not compelling, risk/reward at current levels.
Relative to sector peers, GE (B), CAT (B), and RTX (B) carry higher Weiss Ratings. Those names screen better on combined performance and risk measures, suggesting more favorable risk-adjusted profiles within Industrials. Against that backdrop, XPO’s C rating places it in the middle of the pack, with execution and solvency supporting the case while growth and volatility temper enthusiasm.
Overall, XPO earns a C because strengths in efficiency and solvency are offset by weaker growth dynamics, elevated volatility, and only fair total returns. The current valuation at a 51.59 P/E alongside a 4.11% margin and 2.83% revenue growth argues for balance rather than conviction. In our framework, that mix supports a Hold stance until growth and return trends improve relative to risk.
About XPO, Inc.
XPO, Inc. is an Industrials company operating in the Transportation industry. The company focuses on providing freight transportation solutions with a particular emphasis on less-than-truckload (LTL) services. LTL consolidates multiple shippers’ freight into a single trailer, enabling cost-effective, time-definite delivery of palletized goods. XPO manages pickup, linehaul, and final delivery through a network model designed to move freight efficiently between origin and destination service centers.
XPO’s offerings center on core LTL capabilities, including regional and long-haul transportation for palletized shipments. The company supports shippers across manufacturing, retail, and e-commerce with services that emphasize reliability, transit-time consistency, and damage prevention. Technology plays a central role in planning and execution, with tools used for linehaul optimization, dock operations, freight visibility, and pricing. Customers benefit from shipment tracking, digital documentation, and service options tailored to required speed and cost profiles.
Within the LTL market, XPO competes on service quality, network density, and operational execution. Scale matters: a broad terminal footprint, balanced freight flows, and disciplined linehaul planning can improve yields and on-time performance. The company’s investments in fleet, terminals, and analytics aim to enhance service consistency and cost control. Brand reputation for damage-free handling and dependable transit times, along with relationships across diverse end markets, supports XPO’s positioning. Strategic priorities typically include densifying lanes, improving mix and yield, and deepening customer engagement with technology to support operational efficiency and service differentiation in LTL.
Investor Outlook
With a C (Hold) rating, investors should monitor XPO’s North American LTL operating updates—especially tonnage per day, shipments, and weight per shipment—for signs that volume declines are stabilizing. Watch how valuation shifts relative to growth, margins, and volatility, as well as the stock’s distance from the $161.00 52-week high.
XPO’s risk/reward remains balanced in our framework; improvements in growth trends or sustained gains in efficiency could tilt that view. See full rankings of all C-rated Industrials stocks inside the Weiss Stock Screener.