YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Down 5.5% — Do I Clear This From My Holdings?
Key Points
YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) extended its recent retreat in the latest session, closing at $34.39 and losing ground by 5.47% on the day. The stock fell sharply from the prior close of $36.38, surrendering $1.99 in value and highlighting mounting pressure on the share price. Trading activity came in lighter than usual, with volume at 1,842,508 shares, below its 90-day average of 2,547,355, suggesting this latest slide unfolded without a surge in participation. Even so, the size of the decline underscores that sellers remain in control in the near term.
From a broader perspective, YPF is sliding further away from its 52-week high of $47.43, reached on Jan. 10, 2025. At current levels, the stock is trading roughly $13 below that peak, marking a substantial retreat from its recent highs and signaling persistent headwinds for investors who bought closer to the top. Although the shares are still well above the 52-week low of $22.82, the recent pullback points to a loss of momentum and a market that appears reluctant to support higher levels.
Relative to major energy peers such as Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), Petrobras (PBR), and Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ), YPF’s latest performance stands out on the downside, with the stock under pressure even as the broader oil and gas group has shown more mixed, less pronounced day-to-day moves. The combination of declining price, a meaningful gap from the 52-week high and subdued trading volume highlights a stock that is currently on the defensive and struggling to regain firm footing.
Why YPF Sociedad Anónima Price is Moving Lower
The recent downside in YPF Sociedad Anónima is coming against a backdrop of relatively quiet headline flow, which tends to shift investor focus back to fundamentals. Despite short-term stability in early January trading, the stock is under pressure as the market reassesses earnings quality and longer-term profitability. YPF is heading into its next earnings release with an EPS loss of -$1.19 and a recent quarterly miss of -$0.53, reinforcing concerns that profitability remains elusive. A negative profit margin of -2.46% further underscores that operations are not currently generating consistent bottom-line value, a clear headwind for a company in a capital-intensive energy business.
Revenue trends add to the caution. While latest-quarter sales of about $4.77 billion edged up 1.3% from the prior quarter’s $4.71 billion, year-over-year revenue is down 11.29%. That pattern — modest sequential improvement but a double-digit annual decline — suggests that any near-term stabilization is not yet strong enough to offset broader structural or macro pressures on demand and pricing. In a global energy sector where peers such as Exxon Mobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Petrobras, and Canadian Natural Resources are closely watched benchmarks, YPF’s combination of contracting revenue base and negative earnings puts it at a relative disadvantage. With average trading volumes running higher than the latest session’s activity, the recent pullback appears driven less by speculative swings and more by ongoing skepticism about the company’s ability to restore sustainable, profitable growth, keeping downward pressure on the share price.
What is the YPF Sociedad Anónima Rating - Should I Sell?
Weiss Ratings assigns YPF a C rating. Current recommendation is Hold. That rating comes with a clearly cautious tone: The stock was downgraded on 8/13/2025, signaling deterioration in its overall risk/reward balance. For investors, a downgrade to a C means the stock has, at best, average prospects and does not justify aggressive positioning, especially after the recent pressure on the share price.
Under the surface, the picture is mixed, but the weaknesses carry significant weight. The Good Growth Index indicates that, on certain operational metrics, YPF is positioned reasonably well for an energy name. However, the company’s recent revenue contraction of -11.29% and a negative profit margin of -2.46% show that whatever growth drivers exist have not translated into sustainable profitability. A forward P/E ratio of -30.53 only reinforces that earnings power is currently in the red, limiting downside protection for shareholders.
Risk indicators lean negative. A Weak Volatility Index signals a history of unstable trading that can compound losses during market stress, while Fair scores on the Efficiency Index, Solvency Index, and Total Return Index imply only middling capital returns, balance sheet strength, and shareholder outcomes. In other words, operations are merely adequate and do not sufficiently offset the higher volatility and profit challenges.
Compared with sector peers such as Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM, C+), Chevron Corporation (CVX, C), and Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR, C-), YPF sits in the lower half of the quality spectrum. With only a C (Hold) rating and a recent downgrade, investors should remain cautious, recognizing that any potential upside comes with meaningful risk and no clear evidence of durable value creation yet.
About YPF Sociedad Anónima
YPF Sociedad Anónima is an integrated energy company focused on the exploration, production, refining and marketing of hydrocarbons and related products, with core operations concentrated in Argentina. The company is engaged in upstream activities that include the development of conventional and unconventional oil and gas reserves, operating across multiple basins that are often technically complex and capital-intensive. On the downstream side, YPF runs refining complexes, fuel distribution networks and a network of service stations, supplying gasoline, diesel, lubricants and other petroleum derivatives to retail, industrial and wholesale customers. It also participates in the natural gas value chain through processing, transportation and marketing.
Beyond traditional hydrocarbons, YPF is involved in petrochemicals, LPG and certain power-generation and energy solutions activities, aiming to capture margins along the broader energy supply chain. However, the company operates in a challenging regulatory and macroeconomic environment, with heavy government involvement in the Argentine energy sector and exposure to price controls, currency risk and shifting policy frameworks. This can undermine the strategic flexibility typically available to global energy peers and can limit the attractiveness of long-term projects. In the competitive landscape, YPF’s large resource base, established infrastructure and brand recognition in Argentina are partially offset by aging assets, elevated environmental and transition risks, and dependence on a single, economically volatile country for most of its operations, leaving the business structurally exposed to domestic policy and demand conditions.
Investor Outlook
With YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) carrying a C (Hold) Weiss Rating, investors may want to exercise caution and closely monitor whether recent downside momentum stabilizes or accelerates. Watch for sector-wide energy price trends and any changes that could influence the company’s risk profile, as further deterioration could pressure the current Hold stance. See full rankings of all C-rated Energy stocks inside the Weiss Stock Screener.
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