The Right ETF Strategy – and the Right Time to Use it

Mike Larson

When it comes to investing, success is often a matter of timing. Buying a great investment at the wrong moment can lead to losses. So can implementing the “right” strategy at the wrong time.

But when you have the right strategy AND the right time to use it? That’s pure investment gold. And my research shows a proper dividend-focused strategy – implemented right now – has both.

I don’t know how much of a student of market history you are. But the facts and figures I’ve seen are irrefutable: Dividends comprise the lion’s share of an investor’s return over long periods of time.

One study that covers more than two centuries of data found that average annual returns in the U.S. are around 7.9%. But a whopping 5.8 percentage points of that stemmed from dividend payouts and dividend growth. A separate analysis found that since 1900, dividends accounted for around 90% of total real returns across multiple world markets and multiple decades.

Not only do dividends boost returns dramatically, but they also lower overall portfolio risk and volatility. One reliable analysis found that a proper dividend-focused investment strategy can reduce portfolio swings and volatility by more than a third.

But here’s the best thing: Now is a great time to put a yield-focused strategy to work for you. That’s because multiple historical analyses suggest this is the point in the Federal Reserve rate-hiking cycle where dividend payers start to outperform … and continue to do so for years.

In other words … like I said at the outset … a yield-focused approach is the right investment strategy at the right time. I’m going to have much, MUCH more on this topic soon. That includes details on how I pick the best higher-yielding investments, what timing and analysis tools come into play, the impact of Fed policy on dividend-paying stocks and funds, and more.

But to get you started, here’s a special High-Yielding ETFs Screener I created at the Weiss Ratings website. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY, Rated “B”) is currently yielding around 1.9%. So I started by screening for all ETFs that yield at least twice that amount, or 3.8%. They had to do so on both a historical and forward basis.

Next, I eliminated any ETFs with less than $100 million in assets and Weiss Ratings below “C-” (HOLD). I also cut out ETFs with negative returns over the past 12 months and year-to-date. The resulting list shows the results of this screen as of mid-week:

Data Date: 5/10/2017

The Global X SuperDividend ETF (SDIV, Rated “C”) came in first place. The $895 million ETF invests in a basket of higher-yielding, foreign and domestic stocks. That includes mortgage insurers, banks, REITs, shipping firms, and more. It sports a dividend yield of around 6.7%.

Other top-10 ETFs include the Arrow Dow Jones Global Yield ETF (GYLD, Rated “C-”), a passively managed ETF that invests in a blend of foreign and domestic stocks and bonds, and the VanEck Vectors BDC Income ETF (BIZD, Rated “C”). I’ve talked about the benefits of Business Development Companies (BDCs) like those in BIZD before, and recently published a comprehensive report with my top sector recommendations.

If you’re looking to get started enhancing the yield of your portfolio, take a look at my screener and see what might work for you. Then stay tuned for more updates on this very important topic.

Lastly, I’m excited to announce that I’ll have the chance to discuss market developments and investment strategies with you in person later this year. That’s because I’ll be attending and presenting at the MoneyShow San Francisco, which runs from August 24-26, 2017, and the MoneyShow Toronto, which runs from September 8-9, 2017.

Both events are completely free to attend. All you have to do is register in advance. To do so, and to see my presentation schedules and topics, click here for San Francisco and click here for Toronto. I’m looking forward to meeting face-to-face!

Until next time,

Mike

Mike Larson, Senior Analyst

ETF Spotlight Edition, by Mike Larson, Senior Analyst

Mike Larson is a Senior Analyst for Weiss Ratings. A graduate of Boston University, Mike Larson formerly worked at Bankrate.com and Bloomberg News, and is regularly featured on CNBC, CNN, Fox Business News and Bloomberg Television as well as many national radio programs. Due to the astonishing accuracy of his forecasts and warnings, Mike Larson is often quoted by the Washington Post, Chicago Tribune, As-sociated Press, Reuters, CNNMoney and many others.

About the Income & Dividend Analyst

In an era of high-risk exuberance, Mike Larson stands out as a leader in conservative investment strategies that outperform the market overall. Using the safety-oriented Weiss Ratings as a guide, he has a proven history of guiding investors to stocks and ETFs that provide asset protection, consistent dividends and excellent growth.

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