How to Play the $8.6 Trillion in New IPOs

How to Play the $8.6 Trillion in New IPOs

Editor’s note: In just seven hours, Chris Graebe will make history.

In the 55 years since Dr. Martin Weiss founded this company, we’ve never had an event like this.

And with a possible $8.6 trillion coming into a specific slice of the market, the timing couldn’t be better.

We were able to get a sneak peek at what Chris will tell Weiss members at 2 p.m. Eastern today.

We want you to have it …


by Chris Graebe
By Chris Graebe

As we speak, over 1,600 unicorns and tech disruptors — worth a combined $8.6 trillion — are lining up to go public.

Including OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT.

Smart-ring maker Oura is now confirmed to IPO soon.

And Anduril, the defense tech unicorn, is on track to go public, too.

I estimate we could see another 120 IPOs before year-end. Possibly even more.

And that's just the start.

My experience is that this historic wave isn't wrapping up anytime soon. It's set to roll on straight through to next year.

This means dozens of chances to catch the next big IPO right out of the gate.

But remember, I have been in this game for a while. I know it isn’t that easy.

I ran the numbers, and only one in 10 IPOs actually works out for investors like they hope. I’ll show you the data in a second.

First, let’s look at the ones that garner the most attention … the types that will make up the majority of that $8.6 trillion coming to market.

30 Hot IPOs … 30 Crashes

I ran the numbers on the biggest, most talked-about IPOs of recent years.

Rivian, Coinbase and plenty of others just like them. A total of 30 companies.

Every single one — with zero exceptions — crashed hard within the first 12 months.

Airbnb went down 39% after the IPO.

Same with CoreWeave. It works with AI giants like OpenAI, Nvidia and Microsoft.

After it went public, CoreWeave dropped 65%.

Or take Robinhood, the popular stock trading app.

That one lost 74% within the first 12 months of trading.

 

So when I say nine out of 10 IPOs never live up to the hype, I mean it.

All of these hot stocks dropped 55% on average. Just in the first year of trading.

Think about what that means …

If you bought a hot IPO based on headlines and hype, you were practically guaranteed to watch half your investment vanish.

Anthropic Is Next in Line

And that brings me to right now …

Another hyped IPO is on the way. Anthropic, the AI company behind Claude, is going public soon.

So, the obvious question is …

Is Anthropic part of the 90% that traps everyday investors? Or is it one of the rare winners?

Today, I'll show you what our data says about Anthropic right now.

But here's the thing …

Whether Anthropic makes the cut isn't even the most important thing I want to show you today.

Because here's what we discovered …

That 10% — the rare IPOs that deliver — isn't random.

As it turns out, you can identify them ahead of time.

How the Nasdaq Opened My Eyes to Apex IPOs

Let me back up and show you how I got here.

I've put my own money into 35 companies long before they went public. Some were valued at just a few million dollars when I wrote the check.

Today, those same companies are collectively worth over $1 billion.

This year alone, I've been invited to ring the opening bell twice. At both the New York Stock Exchange and the Nasdaq.

And it was the Nasdaq that first opened my eyes to Apex IPOs.

It has listed more tech companies than any other exchange on the planet.

Nvidia, Tesla and Apple. Plus, hundreds of others.

Which means it sits on the biggest IPO data library on Earth.

So, when one of Nasdaq’s top executives published an internal study, I pored over every page.

It put 10 full years of IPO performance under a microscope. With thousands of companies from 2010 through 2020.

The baseline numbers weren't surprising.

About 30% of IPOs beat the broader market by 10% or more. That’s solid performance, but nothing extraordinary.

The real outlier was a much smaller slice …

The top 10% of new listings. What we now call Apex IPOs.

In their first 12 months, they beat the market by an average of 75%.

Two years in, that gap widened to 175%.

By year three? You’re looking at a 300% outperformance. Straight from Nasdaq’s own numbers.

 

Think about that for a second …

Historically, the stock market takes about a decade to double your money.

But Apex IPOs did it three times faster. And that’s just on average.

That was the smoking gun proof that elite IPOs — the next Amazons and Googles — do exist. Even when 90% of stock debuts flop.

But I wasn't 100% convinced yet.

Anyone can look at a stock chart and point out the winners after the big run.

What I wanted to know was simple …

Could you spot Apex IPOs in real time — BEFORE a company goes public?

That’s the exact question my team and I set out to answer six months ago.

Our mission? Build a data-backed system that finds the IPOs with real promise … and filters out the hyped-up duds along the way.

Wall Street Has No Incentive to Do This

To my knowledge, nobody else had ever attempted to build anything like it before. On or off Wall Street.

And it's not hard to see why.

Wall Street banks make a fortune off overhyped IPOs. Whether they work out or not.

So why would they build something to help investors like you and me … when we’re not the ones paying their bills?

And even if someone else wanted to build it, they couldn't.

Most research firms don't have 50 years of market history sitting on their servers.

They don't have a $32 million data infrastructure. Or terabytes of proprietary stock data to backtest against.

We do.

Our team of analysts crunched through years of Weiss data.

We built a custom IPO predictive engine from scratch. From the ground up. And we stress-tested it against every public listing since 2010.

What we discovered changed how we look at IPOs.

And once you see how it works, it's going to take the guesswork out of every new stock you buy from this day forward.

We call it the Apex IPO System.

And when we put it to the test across 3,300 IPOs — and millions of data points — it pinpointed a majority of the winners.

Not just a quick post-IPO bump. We’re talking across a full three years of trading.

Think about that …

In a market where so many investors lose money on hype, this system gets it right close to 8 out of 10 times.

And the best part?

We do all the heavy lifting behind the scenes.

In just seven hours, I’ll show you exactly how it all works and what this system shows right now.

This link is your ticket. I’ll start the presentation right at 2 p.m. Eastern. See you there!

Happy hunting,

Chris Graebe

About the Contributor

Chris Graebe's specialty is finding red-hot, breakthrough startup companies and investing in them even before venture capitalists get in. In Deal Hunters Alliance, he shows you how you can do the same … right alongside him.

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