Crypto Crossroads: Navigating Gensler’s Regulatory Onslaught

by Alex Benfield
By Alex Benfield

Today, our digital darlings are licking their wounds, nursing a modest ~4% dip after a less-than-pleasant encounter with Gary Gensler — the Securities and Exchange Commission chair who has crypto in his crosshairs.

This crypto scrooge is on a mission to regulate our beloved digital assets into oblivion, and his testimony yesterday sent shivers down the spines of investors everywhere.

In it, Gensler emphasized that most crypto tokens are securities and should be regulated as such. He argued that Congress's mandate to protect investors applies to cryptocurrencies, regardless of the labels or technology involved.

Gensler also pointed out that many crypto intermediaries — whether centralized or decentralized — provide a combination of services, which creates conflicts of interest and risks for investors that are not allowed in traditional securities markets.

According to Gensler, compliance with securities laws is essential, and referring to a platform as "DeFi" does not exempt it from these regulations.

Additionally, he expressed concern about the high level of noncompliance in the crypto market, which puts investors' funds and the public's trust in capital markets at risk.

To address these issues and enhance investor protection, Gensler highlighted various SEC actions and proposals.

While Gensler's focus on investor protection is commendable, his viewpoint may not account for the unique characteristics and potential benefits of cryptocurrencies and decentralized platforms.

In fact, the strict application of securities laws might stifle innovation and limit the growth of the crypto industry.

So, it is safe to say the crypto community does not agree with Gensler’s position. And prominent crypto figures are taking a stand.

For instance, Gensler claimed that he has said many times that crypto companies simply need to “come in and register” to receive the guidelines they need to stay compliant.

In response, Ryan Selkis, founder of Messari — a crypto data library — completely disagreed, noting how the SEC has never once issued guidance on how to register … and how almost every company that has come in to talk with the SEC is no longer in business in the U.S.

Interestingly enough, the crypto community is not alone in speaking out against Gensler. Although his critical stance on the crypto industry often went unchallenged in the past, lately, members of both the House and Senate have started to push back on his views.

In fact, the issue seems to be splitting along party lines, with Republicans generally being more supportive of crypto — albeit with some lacking a thorough understanding of the technology.

Meanwhile, Democrats — led by notable figures like Senator Elizabeth Warren (D – MA) — have expressed strong opposition to cryptocurrencies and have called for increased regulation. In their reasoning, they often cite concerns over the environmental impact of crypto mining and its carbon emissions.

Amid this political discourse, another layer of complexity arises from the ongoing disagreement between the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and SEC over whether cryptos should be classified as commodities or securities.

This distinction is important because it determines which agency has jurisdiction over the crypto market.

As both the political debate and the regulatory turf war unfold, these factors will undoubtedly shape the future landscape of crypto in the United States.

At any rate, finding the balance between prioritizing investor protection while still fostering innovation will be crucial for the future of the crypto industry.

In the long term, clearer regulations could help legitimize the crypto market and attract more institutional investors.

But the short- and medium-term impact of Gensler’s recent testimony means the crypto market may face increased regulatory scrutiny and higher volatility.

In fact, we’ve already seen a moderate decline in prices that put a halt to the ongoing rally as many cryptos are retesting support levels.

After surging past $30,000 last week, Bitcoin (BTC, “A-”) has slipped back below that level and is looking to find support at $29,000. If that support holds, then this dip will be short-lived.

However, there is more support in the $27,000–$28,500 range. Below that is $26,000, which is the 200-week moving average that should act as a strong support level if prices continue to drop.

Source: Coinbase Global (COIN).
Click here to see full-sized image.

 

Compared to BTC, Ethereum (ETH, “B”) and other altcoins are having a slightly worse day. ETH is down a little over 5% on the day and is now trading below that $2,000 level.

However, it is not too surprising to see some volatility here, since a lot of the questioning for Gensler has been about whether ETH is a security.

For now, we will have to wait and see if the support at $1,900 holds and if ETH can continue its recent rally.

Source: Coinbase.
Click here to see full-sized image.

 

Moving forward, the Senate testimony does not look good for Gensler. If his statements end up impacting his position, then a new SEC chair could take on a drastically different approach to the industry.

That would obviously have a bullish impact on prices moving forward.

Although there is no reason to believe that Gensler would lose his position as SEC chair, it is worth keeping up with this news.

So, as reliable as the changing of the seasons, a swift reversal in crypto prices always seems to crash the party during a rambunctious run-up.

But this is not necessarily a bad thing. These events can be seen as a cleansing ritual, purging the system of excess leverage and reminding us of the untamed, free market spirit that courses through crypto’s veins.

This financial baptism by fire never fails to catch folks new to the space off guard, ruthlessly sweeping away the overeager, the impulsive and the high-stakes gamblers who dared to dance too close to the flames.

But once the dust settles and the ashes of the overleveraged are scattered to the winds, crypto prices tend to rise like a phoenix, ready to soar once more on the wings of newfound stability.

Overall, I don’t believe this current dip is the end of this April rally.

But like we have been saying all year long, this is a neutral market now. That means there will be plenty of volatility in the form of sharp rallies and quick sell-offs.

So, this is not the year to trade with leverage.

As always, stay safe and have fun out there.

Best,

Alex

About the Crypto Analyst

Alex has been actively researching and investing in cryptocurrencies since 2017. He contributes research and reports to several Weiss crypto publications, with a primary focus on helping to create crypto trading strategies.

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